Madoff, Tremont and More: "I Suppose You Could Program a Computer to Violate A Regulation, But We Haven't Gotten There Yet"
As we proceed to work our way through the Madoff litigation,
we focus on cases where we believe there is a source of recovery for our
clients. To date, that is largely the Tremont
Rye Funds, controlled by Oppenheimer
and Massachusetts Mutual,
audited by the Big Four accounting firms and supposedly a custodial bank, Bank
of New York Mellon.
We have also focused on the feeder funds to the Tremont Rye
Funds, such as Spectrum, Future Select, Austin
and Meridian.
Other funds continue to crop up every day. Nevertheless, these stories are
rather dry and our minds still wrestle with how Madoff pulled this off.
A video of Bernie
Madoff discussing his business has surfaced online. When I watched this video of
Bernie Madoff and his algorithm guru, Josh Stampfli, participating in a round
table discussion on the future of the stock market, I expected to find a hint
of irrationality or slick behavior. Instead, we hear a very rational human
being, thoughtfully discussing fraud, human behavior and profits. We also see
tremendous irony in Bernie's statements.
I highly recommend anyone impacted by this scandal to watch,
especially around the 43-minute mark, and I've included an index to Bernie's
more ironic statements below:
At minute 26, Bernie
Madoff states:
"Now, no one is going to run a
benefit for Wall Street, so whenever I go down to Washington and meet with the
SEC and complain to them that the industry is either over-regulated or the
burdens are too great, they all start to roll their eyes, just like all of our
children do whenever we talk about the good old days."
At minute 28, Bernie
Madoff states:
"Today, basically the big money on
Wall Street is made by taking risks. Firms were driven into that business,
including us, because you couldn't make money charging commissions, primarily
because the rates were lowered and because of the regulatory infrastructure you
had to have dealing with clients."
At minute 30, Bernie says:
"There are so-called Chinese
Walls that are required to be established at every brokerage firm. They're
called Information Barriers - a term most people would understand - to sort of
wall off a brokerage firm from taking advantage of information that he has as
to what clients are basically going to trade or not going to trade. There are
separate divisions within the firms and it is very carefully enforced and surveillanced.
It doesn't mean there are not abuses, for sure, but largely in today's
regulatory environment, it's virtually impossible to violate rules. This is
something that the public really doesn't understand. If you read things in the
newspaper and you see somebody violate a rule, you say well, they're always
doing this. But it's impossible for a violation to go undetected, certainly not
for a considerable period of time. And when you consider the volumes of
trading, the trillions of dollars of trading that go on today in Wall Street-I
mean, our firm, for example, we trade an excess of $1 trillion dollars a year
and that's one firm-and you look at what we would consider to be the
infractions, they're relatively small, primarily because of all the regulation.
Most firms do try to comply with that."
At minute 43, Bernie states:
"So we determined that the best
thing for us to do was basically to take the human being out of the equation.
That had two advantages in our industry. Number one, when you take the human
being out of the equation, you solve your regulatory problems because the
nature of any human being, certainly anyone on Wall Street, is the better deal
you give the customer, the worse deal it is for you. You're on the other side
of the transaction. It's like going into any store-the store sells you a
television at a higher price, they're going to make more money. They sell you
the lower price, their profit goes down accordingly. As honest as you try and
get people to be, there's this normal, natural pole that you have to deal with.
By taking the human being out of the equation to a great extent and turning it
over to a computer to make your decision-I guess you could also program the
computer to violate the regulations, but we haven't gotten there yet."
At minute 69, Bernie states:
"The future is silence. I
don't see a lot changing in the marketplaces. It's hard to of course say that
because everything always changes, but I cannot imagine what else we'd do, from
an automation standpoint..."
At minute 71, Bernie states:
"You know, this is a
psychoanalytical group, I guess, right? I'm sort of curious-maybe because no
one got a chance to ask any questions about it yet-what are human beings
contributing to the marketplace? Is there any change in their actions?
At minute 111: Bernie states:
"This is the SEC's concern
today because they call us all the time and ask us: should we be concerned
about the fact that certain firms have left certain areas of the industry and
are not serving the public, or not serving even other parts of the industry
itself? The answer is it's too late, because you've done it. So there's always
this friction that goes on between the regulation side of the industry and the
practitioners that say okay, where do you draw the line? I'm very close with
the regulators so I'm not trying to say that what they do is bad. As a matter
of fact, my niece just married one.
(Speaker: My condolences)
(Speaker: Did the SEC approve?)
Madoff: He's an attorney.
(Speaker: Okay.)
Madoff: The issue is, the way
they tend to look at the industry if you're making a profit there's something
wrong, even though intellectually they know that shouldn't be.
At minute 118, Bernie states:
"You know, my theory-and I've
always said this even though we were one of the ones that started all this
automated algorithmic trading-was that I never wanted to get into a cockpit of
a plane and see there wasn't a pilot sitting there...
But more importantly, in our
firm-and I don't know that we're unique, but I know there are other firms that
do not operate this way-we have a group of traders that are watching the
systems work and the results of the systems to make sure that from their sense
of trading things look right. With all due respect to Josh and a lot of other
people that we have with similar backgrounds, programmers-not that he's a
programmer-but people of his ilk can tend to believe too much in the math and
in the model. They fall in love with it sometimes. Not so much Josh,
which is why he's with us, but we have a lot of people like Josh that we employ
and deal with. They're different. The thing that separates somebody that is a
good algorithmic trader from somebody that is dangerous is somebody that just
always believes the machine is right. There are people like that. It goes back
to what Bob said about the joke of the dog. It's supposed to make sure that
nobody touches the machine. You always want to have the human factor involved
in the process because that makes it better. At least that's been our
experience.
In addition, most disturbing at
minute 125:
"Audience: My question
is a little basic. It's open for the whole audience. How do you feel that the
baby-boomers retiring, starting this year, will affect the future of the stock
market, considering there are probably about 60 million people who are going to
retire in the next ten years?
Madoff: Good luck."
The take away from this is hard to find. Here we have a man
who created the NASDAQ, removed the human element out of trading, and clearly
likes to spend time with people. Maybe he was bored and needed the human touch.
By playing the ‘big man on campus,' and spreading largess, he became the center
of attention.
As he states in minute 69...."The reason why is it's
quiet. When you went up to our firm you said, "Well, I'm surprised at how quiet
it is." I find it difficult to get used to that because I'm used to a lot of
noise and screaming."
Clearly, the worst punishment for Bernie Madoff is the
silence.